Interval Estimation Method for Decision Making in Wavelet-Based Software Reliability Assessment

Xiao XIAO  Tadashi DOHI  

IEICE TRANSACTIONS on Information and Systems   Vol.E97-D   No.5   pp.1058-1068
Publication Date: 2014/05/01
Online ISSN: 1745-1361
DOI: 10.1587/transinf.E97.D.1058
Type of Manuscript: Special Section PAPER (Special Section on Knowledge-Based Software Engineering)
software reliability,  uncertainty,  interval estimation,  Haar wavelet,  nonparametric bootstrapping,  non-homogeneous Poisson process,  software-fault count data,  thinning,  prediction,  

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Recently, the wavelet-based estimation method has gradually been becoming popular as a new tool for software reliability assessment. The wavelet transform possesses both spatial and temporal resolution which makes the wavelet-based estimation method powerful in extracting necessary information from observed software fault data, in global and local points of view at the same time. This enables us to estimate the software reliability measures in higher accuracy. However, in the existing works, only the point estimation of the wavelet-based approach was focused, where the underlying stochastic process to describe the software-fault detection phenomena was modeled by a non-homogeneous Poisson process. In this paper, we propose an interval estimation method for the wavelet-based approach, aiming at taking account of uncertainty which was left out of consideration in point estimation. More specifically, we employ the simulation-based bootstrap method, and derive the confidence intervals of software reliability measures such as the software intensity function and the expected cumulative number of software faults. To this end, we extend the well-known thinning algorithm for the purpose of generating multiple sample data from one set of software-fault count data. The results of numerical analysis with real software fault data make it clear that, our proposal is a decision support method which enables the practitioners to do flexible decision making in software development project management.