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Fuzzy Levy-GJR-GARCH American Option Pricing Model Based on an Infinite Pure Jump Process
Huiming ZHANG Junzo WATADA
IEICE TRANSACTIONS on Information and Systems
Publication Date: 2018/07/01
Online ISSN: 1745-1361
Type of Manuscript: PAPER
Category: Fundamentals of Information Systems
American option, fuzzy set theory, fuzzy simulation technology, Levy process, GJR-GARCH model, least squares Monte Carlo approach, binomial tree method, quasi-random number, Brownian Bridge approach,
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This paper focuses mainly on issues related to the pricing of American options under a fuzzy environment by taking into account the clustering of the underlying asset price volatility, leverage effect and stochastic jumps. By treating the volatility as a parabolic fuzzy number, we constructed a Levy-GJR-GARCH model based on an infinite pure jump process and combined the model with fuzzy simulation technology to perform numerical simulations based on the least squares Monte Carlo approach and the fuzzy binomial tree method. An empirical study was performed using American put option data from the Standard & Poor's 100 index. The findings are as follows: under a fuzzy environment, the result of the option valuation is more precise than the result under a clear environment, pricing simulations of short-term options have higher precision than those of medium- and long-term options, the least squares Monte Carlo approach yields more accurate valuation than the fuzzy binomial tree method, and the simulation effects of different Levy processes indicate that the NIG and CGMY models are superior to the VG model. Moreover, the option price increases as the time to expiration of options is extended and the exercise price increases, the membership function curve is asymmetric with an inclined left tendency, and the fuzzy interval narrows as the level set α and the exponent of membership function n increase. In addition, the results demonstrate that the quasi-random number and Brownian Bridge approaches can improve the convergence speed of the least squares Monte Carlo approach.